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Recent Posts

The Grumpy Economist: Deflation links

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/02/04/about-that- deflation -risk/ “So we're really heading into Japanese -style deflation territory” http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/02/smells-like- deflation / “So tell me why [...]

EconomicPolicyJournal.com: Krugman Visits Japan and Sees…

Krugman Visits Japan and Sees… … Deflation . Paul Krugman writes at NYT: Right now, Japan is struggling to escape from a deflationary trap… Here are the facts: The Inflation Rate in Japan is reported by the Ministry [...]

Calafia Beach Pundit: Still no signs of deflation

Japan's problems over the years are commonly attributed to deflation , but that ignores completely the fact that Japan's fiscal policies have been abysmally bad for decades (e.g., way too much government spending). Deflation [...]

MacroMania: Who's Afraid of Deflation?

Everyone knows that deflation is bad. Bad, bad, bad. Why is it bad? Well, we learned it in school. We learned it from the pundits on the news. The Great Depression. Japan . What, are you crazy? It's bad. Here, let [...]

Systemic Risk and Systematic Value: Japan's war against deflation …

The Bank of Japan asserts that the output gap has closed, inflation expectations have increased, and consequently the conquest of deflation would be in sight. The policy board has maintained its commitment to the [...]

Why the US economy is not doomed to a Japan-style deflation or …

10-yr sovereign yields in Germany have plunged to just under 1%, and Japanese yields are a mere 0.5%. U.S. 10-yr yields seem to be following suit, dropping from 3.0% at the end of last year to 2.34% today. Is the U.S. [...]

Deflations Door Shuts in Spain & Opens in Japan – Market …

Similar to the patterned reversal in the SPX in the fall of 2011, investors are getting one more chance to buy Japanese equities on sale before we expect Japan to overcome the pernicious tentacles of deflation , that [...]

Hyman Minsky, Charles Darwin, and descent into the cover of minutiae

There was a curmudgeonly economist named Hyman Minsky (1919-1996). We're not economists and have only learned about him second-hand, after the fact, when what he said before the fact was born out by the [...]

Market Anthropology: The Long Tail of Deflation

With Japan's Nikkei now trading well into its twenty fourth year since its secular peak in 1989, we thought we would take a quick comparative look at the two most talked about deflationary spirals (as weighed by [...]

Economic Logic: Ageing and deflation in Japan

Ageing and deflation in Japan . Inflation rates across industrialized economies have been remarkably low in the past decades, and at the same time these economies have been subject to considerable demographic [...]