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Recent Posts

Australia: Defying the Precipice

It has been eight months since the blog post, Australia: On the Precipice time enough for an update. At the time of writing that article I was making a prediction that money supply growth would reach negative territory by mid year, based on trends emerging last last year. This has not eventuated, as you can see by [...]

Net Foreign Debt Wagging the Money Supply Dog

Source: RBA Statistics

The graph above fairly clearly indicates that Net Foreign Debt (NFD) is a leading indicator for changes in M3 money supply. It looks like there is around a six month lag (give or take) between NFD moving and then M3 following suit.

The majority of foreign debt generated by Australia is not a result [...]